Blog Archive

Sunday, September 21, 2025

2014 QS487 and (48514) 1993 FN22

Based on nominal orbital parameters, this is the result of a backward integration performed with Mercury6 (*) Bulirsch–Stoer run with a 0.05-day step, 1e-12 accuracy, and outputs every 100 days, integrating from JD 2461000.5 backward for 100 M days (~0.27 Myr)

(*) Chambers, J.E. 1999, “A Hybrid Symplectic Integrator that Permits Close Encounters between Massive Bodies,”

The following plot shows the relative velocity and distance following the time when the relative velocity was minimum:



Best wishes,

Alessandro Odasso

Thursday, March 21, 2024

2021 KT21 and 2004 GZ13

Backward simulation performed with Mercury6 ``A Hybrid Symplectic Integrator that Permits Close Encounters between Massive Bodies''. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, vol 304, pp793-799. 

Simulation based on nominal orbital paramters (21st March 2024)

Simulation parameters

)O+_06 Integration parameters  (WARNING: Do not delete this line!!)

) Lines beginning with `)' are ignored.

)---------------------------------------------------------------------

) Important integration parameters:

)---------------------------------------------------------------------

 algorithm (MVS, BS, BS2, RADAU, HYBRID etc) = BS

 start time (days)= 2460309.50000 

 stop time (days) = -1e8

 output interval (days) = 100

 timestep (days) = 0.05

 accuracy parameter=1.d-12


Simulation Result


Following a comment from Adrien Coffinet, here is a forward simulation to show that as correctly guessed, the two asteroids might be again in a similar orbital configuration about 20K years from now:



Monday, February 5, 2024

2023 SP50 and 152737 (1998 WF28)

 Backward simulation

Mercury6 package by J.E.Chambers (1999) ``A Hybrid Symplectic Integrator that Permits Close Encounters between Massive Bodies''. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, vol 304, pp793-799. 

)---------------------------------------------------------------------

) Important integration parameters:

)---------------------------------------------------------------------

 algorithm (MVS, BS, BS2, RADAU, HYBRID etc) = BS

 start time (days)=  2460106.5

) stop time (days) = 102458000.5

 stop time (days) = -1e8

 output interval (days) = 100

 timestep (days) = 0.05

 accuracy parameter=1.d-12


Result


Saturday, February 3, 2024

2022 QZ273 and 2002 RZ12

Backward simulation

Mercury6 package by J.E.Chambers (1999) ``A Hybrid Symplectic Integrator that Permits Close Encounters between Massive Bodies''. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, vol 304, pp793-799. 


)---------------------------------------------------------------------

) Important integration parameters:

)---------------------------------------------------------------------

 algorithm (MVS, BS, BS2, RADAU, HYBRID etc) = BS

 start time (days)=  2460106.5

) stop time (days) = 102458000.5

 stop time (days) = -1e8

 output interval (days) = 1

 timestep (days) = 0.05

 accuracy parameter=1.d-12


Result



Monday, January 15, 2024

2015 TB430 and 1997 YF7

 Interesting couple.


Simulation based on nominal orbital parameters 

Mercury6 software

)---------------------------------------------------------------------

) Important integration parameters:

)---------------------------------------------------------------------

 algorithm (MVS, BS, BS2, RADAU, HYBRID etc) = BS

 start time (days)=  2460106.5

) stop time (days) = 102458000.5

 stop time (days) = -1e8

 output interval (days) = 100

 timestep (days) = 0.05

 accuracy parameter=1.d-12


Simulation result


Thursday, December 28, 2023