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Monday, November 23, 2020

2018 BE7 - an old comet?

Sam Deen has identified another  "imposter trojoan": 2018 BE7 

Andrew Walker has also analyzed its orbital characteristics.

I describe here the result of a backward simulation that shows that this object (as well as 2015 OL106) has 

the potential to be an old comet...not clear to me if this is just due to the high orbit uncertainty.

(2018 BE7)
Classification: Jupiter Trojan          SPK-ID: 3799005
Ephemeris | Orbit Diagram | Orbital Elements | Mission Design | Physical Parameters | Close-Approach Data ]
Orbital Elements at Epoch 2459000.5 (2020-May-31.0) TDB
Reference: JPL 2 (heliocentric ecliptic J2000)
 ElementValueUncertainty (1-sigma)  Units 
e.25171459982275670.00044326 
a5.277458944892770.0010489au
q3.9490454784980580.0015619au
i31.000807324553040.005232deg
node359.94070795020510.015479deg
peri92.16669756955550.20747deg
M84.223801910045670.089188deg
tp2457964.480181911063
(2017-Jul-29.98018191)
1.3392TDB
period4428.286613211319
12.12
1.3202
0.003615
d
yr
n.081295550953269042.4237e-05deg/d
Q6.6058724112874810.0013129au
 Orbit Determination Parameters
   # obs. used (total)     24  
   data-arc span     38 days  
   first obs. used     2017-12-30  
   last obs. used     2018-02-06  
   planetary ephem.     DE431  
   SB-pert. ephem.     SB431-N16  
   condition code     5  
   norm. resid. RMS     .47737  
   source     ORB  
   producer     Otto Matic  
   solution date     2018-Mar-12 02:55:18  

Additional Information
 Earth MOID = 3.14677 au 
 Jupiter MOID = .0750553 au 
 T_jup = 2.657 

Clones generation

Clones  Target
mean sd   mean sd
q 3.94904546224 0.00156467669   3.9490454785 0.0015619
e 0.25172016357 0.00044422146   0.25171459982 0.00044326
i 31.00103111513 0.00522676417   31.00080732455 0.005232
peri 92.15222161758 0.20728675619   92.16669756956 0.20747
node 359.94053458161 0.01544262868   359.9407079502 0.015479
tp 2457964.37314359 1.33721191964   2457964.48018191 1.3392

100 clones were generated as above


Simulation parameters

Simulator Mercury6 by J. E. Chambers.

)---------------------------------------------------------------------

) Important integration parameters:

)---------------------------------------------------------------------

 algorithm (MVS, BS, BS2, RADAU, HYBRID etc) = BS

 start time (days)= 2459167.50000

 stop time (days) = -1d8

 output interval (days) = 100

 timestep (days) = 0.05

 accuracy parameter=1.d-12

ejection distance (AU)= 100

Simulation Results

64 out of 100 clones entered the solar system from a distance greater than 100 AU



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