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Friday, May 13, 2022

2021 CC40 - cometary origin ?

Its orbit has a Jupiter moid = 0.0060 AU

I generated 100 clones of 2021 CC40 in the last 10^8 days (i.e. from now back to about 280K years ago).
75 clones came into the solar system from a distance greater than 100 AU

From this point of view, it seems that 2021 CC40 is a good candidate for having a cometary origin.

 

More details here:

 

Clones Generation


Clones  Target

mean sd   mean sd
q 3.25399802390041 7.03707449970568e-05   3.25400084057019 7.0403e-05
e 0.241134331789963 1.59398555200895e-05   0.241133698559336 1.5947e-05
i 12.9796232392302 6.18646863798976e-05   12.9796210051976 6.1886e-05
peri 328.501490543462 0.00855370237432572   328.501160286746 0.008554
node 235.614402285421 0.000361242956610133   235.61440679467 0.00036124
tp 2459672.09000109 0.0444299088063099   2459672.08824673 0.044429

Mercury6 Simulation

)O+_06 Integration parameters  (WARNING: Do not delete this line!!)
) Lines beginning with `)' are ignored.
)---------------------------------------------------------------------
) Important integration parameters:
)---------------------------------------------------------------------
 algorithm (MVS, BS, BS2, RADAU, HYBRID etc) = BS
 start time (days)= 2459671.5
) stop time (days) = 102458000.5
 stop time (days) = -1d8
 output interval (days) = 100
 timestep (days) = 0.05
 accuracy parameter=1.d-12
...
 ejection distance (AU)= 100
 

Results

In the following plots, time is displayed on the vertical axis in order to have more space. The simulation time has been divided into 50 slots and for every slot the relevant orbital parameter distribution (inter-quartile) of all existing clones is shown.












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