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Showing posts with label asteroid pais. Show all posts
Showing posts with label asteroid pais. Show all posts

Sunday, October 6, 2019

Amors: (2019 QR6) and (2019 PR2)

On October 06th, 2019 I post a message on MPML list wondering about the nature of these two objects.

In fact that I was unable to link their orbits with Find_Orb

The message  was almost immediately answered by Bill Gray that already noticed the orbit similarity as you see in his answer.

For what is's worth, I tried a simulation going back just a few centuries.

I used the Mercury6 simulator (Bulirsch-Stoer algorithm, output every 100 days) to integrate the orbit of 100 clones for every Amor.
package by J.E.Chambers (1999) ``A Hybrid
      Symplectic Integrator that Permits Close Encounters between
      Massive Bodies''. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical
      Society, vol 304, pp793-799.

Ephemeris | Orbit Diagram | Orbital Elements | Mission Design | Physical Parameters | Close-Approach Data ]

[ show orbit diagram ]

Orbital Elements at Epoch 2458600.5 (2019-Apr-27.0) TDB
Reference: JPL 6 (heliocentric ecliptic J2000)
 Element Value Uncertainty (1-sigma)   Units 
e .7978288096308341 0.00032564
a 5.77647017220784 0.0096039 au
q 1.16783585084724 6.0685e-05 au
i 10.97219839923067 0.0022769 deg
node 349.0031380596452 0.0032242 deg
peri 57.11459122817678 0.0037867 deg
M 347.1017843073122 0.032425 deg
tp 2458782.185121653621
(2019-Oct-25.68512165)
0.0037127 TDB
period 5070.983875109436
13.88
12.646
0.03462
d
yr
n .07099214055225742 0.00017705 deg/d
Q 10.38510449356844 0.017266 au
Orbit Determination Parameters
   # obs. used (total)      55  
   data-arc span      37 days  
   first obs. used      2019-08-30  
   last obs. used      2019-10-06  
   planetary ephem.      DE431  
   SB-pert. ephem.      SB431-N16  
   condition code      6  
   norm. resid. RMS      .23771  
   source      ORB  
   producer      Otto Matic  
   solution date      2019-Oct-06 05:59:04  

Additional Information
 Earth MOID = .236027 au 
 Jupiter MOID = .430677 au 
 T_jup = 2.148 
(2019 QR6)
Classification: Amor [NEO]          SPK-ID: 3843716


Ephemeris | Orbit Diagram | Orbital Elements | Mission Design | Physical Parameters | Close-Approach Data ]

[ show orbit diagram ]

Orbital Elements at Epoch 2458600.5 (2019-Apr-27.0) TDB
Reference: JPL 13 (heliocentric ecliptic J2000)
 Element Value Uncertainty (1-sigma)   Units 
e .7976395056810581 7.5679e-05
a 5.771314015088342 0.0022317 au
q 1.167885956963114 1.4922e-05 au
i 10.98927716153723 0.0004847 deg
node 349.0377844945419 0.00064504 deg
peri 57.08297761694006 0.0010614 deg
M 347.0982101299367 0.0075621 deg
tp 2458781.992192675281
(2019-Oct-25.49219268)
0.0011319 TDB
period 5064.195745018806
13.87
2.9374
0.008042
d
yr
n .0710872995685642 4.1233e-05 deg/d
Q 10.37474207321357 0.0040118 au
Orbit Determination Parameters
   # obs. used (total)      79  
   data-arc span      56 days  
   first obs. used      2019-08-10  
   last obs. used      2019-10-05  
   planetary ephem.      DE431  
   SB-pert. ephem.      SB431-N16  
   condition code      5  
   norm. resid. RMS      .47936  
   source      ORB  
   producer      Otto Matic  
   solution date      2019-Oct-06 05:59:04  

Additional Information
 Earth MOID = .236151 au 
 Jupiter MOID = .430922 au 
 T_jup = 2.149 
(2019 PR2)
Classification: Amor [NEO]          SPK-ID: 3843547

I generated the clones trying to achieve the same orbital values as above.
This is what I got:

2019 QR6 

Clones Target
mean sd mean sd
q 1.16782936 6.072e-05 1.16783585 6.068e-05
e 0.7977961 0.00032594 0.79782881 0.00032564
i 10.97196669 0.00227869 10.9721984 0.0022769
peri 57.11505214 0.00378487 57.11459123 0.0037867
node 349.00281358 0.00322763 349.00313806 0.0032242
tp 2458782.18556559 0.00370968 2458782.18512165 0.0037127


2019 PR2

Clones Target
mean sd mean sd
q 1.16788572 1.491e-05 1.16788596 1.492e-05
e 0.79763725 7.562e-05 0.79763951 7.568e-05
i 10.98925764 0.00048534 10.98927716 0.0004847
peri 57.08297444 0.00106018 57.08297762 0.0010614
node 349.03776263 0.00064461 349.03778449 0.00064504
tp 2458781.99219263 0.00113238 2458781.99219268 0.0011319

I analyzed the 100*100 pairs, looking for pairs being very near with low relative velocity.

The best couple that I found behaved like this:



Apparently, somewhere around  year 1950 these two asteroids were at 2500 km with a relative velocity abot 10 m/s.

Does this make any sense?

Kind Regards
Alessandro Odasso