Blog Archive

Monday, January 15, 2024

2015 TB430 and 1997 YF7

 Interesting couple.


Simulation based on nominal orbital parameters 

Mercury6 software

)---------------------------------------------------------------------

) Important integration parameters:

)---------------------------------------------------------------------

 algorithm (MVS, BS, BS2, RADAU, HYBRID etc) = BS

 start time (days)=  2460106.5

) stop time (days) = 102458000.5

 stop time (days) = -1e8

 output interval (days) = 100

 timestep (days) = 0.05

 accuracy parameter=1.d-12


Simulation result


Thursday, December 28, 2023

Monday, November 6, 2023

358P/PANSTARRS and 292547 (2006 TE55) and 300233 (2006 YX8)


                          a         e        i       om        w        q
  358P/PANSTARRS   3.146644 0.2388745 11.06014 85.70234 299.7696 2.394991
292547 (2006 TE55) 3.140893 0.2428301 11.11777 88.23864 298.1447 2.378189
300233 (2006 YX8)  3.138883 0.2418392 11.21893 87.87625 301.6746 2.379778


Backward simulation done with Mercury 6 

)---------------------------------------------------------------------
) Important integration parameters:
)---------------------------------------------------------------------
 algorithm (MVS, BS, BS2, RADAU, HYBRID etc) = BS
 start time (days)=  2460106.5
 stop time (days) = -1e8
 output interval (days) = 100
 timestep (days) = 0.05
 accuracy parameter=1.d-12

Plots












Friday, October 27, 2023

313P/Gibbs and 2016 JM83

Backward simulation (up to about 300K years ago)

313P/Gibbs and 2016 JM83 have a very similar orbit, they never came very near each other, the two orbits are stable:










Sunday, September 17, 2023

2015 BN494 and 2008 BY42

 Backward integration with Mercury6 software, integrator Bulirsch-Stoer, output every 100 days




Friday, September 8, 2023

(395103) = 2009 RA8 -- Cometary Origin ?

 Is this a quasi-Hilda object?


Clone Generation

100 clones were generated in order to have the same orbital paameters and uncertainty as the nominal asteroid

Clones Target
meansd meansd
q3.612452700839453.39064109921033e-07 3.612452649126733.4136e-07
e0.1296673397944398.11352970562344e-08 0.129667354115618.0309e-08
i8.96456437483969.73657795759391e-06 8.964564572815829.6087e-06
peri344.4877041957124.69757841212335e-05 344.4877071204454.6654e-05
node359.4695014449933.82226393976073e-05 359.4694987819763.8729e-05
tp2461090.032893970.000262107424207425 2461090.032902890.00026503

Backward Simulation

This was performed using Mercury Integrator Package Version 6 - Bulirsch-Stoer N-body algorithm - 10^8 days in the past - output every 100 days

66% of the clones entered the solar system from a distance greater than 100 AU (i.e. from the point of view of the backward simulation they were "ejected")




Monday, August 14, 2023