Blog Archive

Wednesday, August 30, 2017

2017 QO32 versus NEO P10COCz


Peter Birtwhistle noticed a similarity between the orbits of these two newly discovered asteroids (see his MPML message).

I tried to simulate, using the Mercury integrator by John E. Chambers, their past relative distance and velocity.

The data are still very uncertain and so this simulation is by no means conclusive: however, it seems that in these days these two asteroids are at the end of a much longer cycle where they happen to come relatively near.

When more data are available, it will be interesting to see if there is a point in the past when the distance between these two asteroids was much less than a lunar distance and their relative velocity was less than say 1 m/s.


Simulation data
Today, 30 Aug 2017, I downloaded the observations  made available by the Minor Planet Center, then I got the orbital parameters submitting them to Find_Orb (server page).


Simulation configuration




From file info.out:
   Algorithm: Bulirsch-Stoer (conservative systems)

   Integration start epoch:       2458000.5000000 days
   Integration stop  epoch:      -100000000.0000000
   Output interval:                  100.000
   Output precision:                 medium

   Initial timestep:                0.100 days
   Accuracy parameter:              1.0000E-12


Simulation result

Note: the apparent zero points both in relative distance and velocity are NOT really zero! 


Kind Regards,
Alessandro Odasso

Sunday, August 20, 2017

Hilda Asteroid 2017 OJ65 - an old TNO?

This object is currently an Hilda asteroid.

I run a simulation using the nominal orbital parameters read from JPL (Horizons Web Interface).

Uncertainty condition code: 0

Mercury6 simulator: configuration
More about the orbit simulator "A Hybrid Symplectic Integrator that Permits Close Encounters between Massive Bodies'' can be found here.

Main integration parameters:

   Algorithm: Bulirsch-Stoer (conservative systems)

   Integration start epoch:         2458000.5000000 days
   Integration stop  epoch:        -10^8 days
   Output interval:                     100.000 days
   Output precision:                   medium
   Initial timestep:                      0.100 days
   Accuracy parameter:             1.0000E-12
   Ejection distance:                  1.0000E+02 AU

Simulation results

This plot has been made using the R-package.



This seems to show that this asteroid was previously a TNO.

Kind Regards,
Alessandro Odasso